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Table 2 Model evaluation for different models

From: MODELS: a six-step framework for developing an infectious disease model

Model type

Key considerations

Assessment techniques

Data-driven models

Focus on learning from and predicting based on existing datasets

MSE, RMSE, R2, AIC, BIC, historical fitting, predictive validation, sensitivity analysis

Mechanism-driven models

Emphasize modelling based on biological and sociological principles of disease transmission

R2, AIC, BIC, predictive validation, sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis, expert review