Skip to main content

Table 3 Results of phase 1B surveys and assessment if epidemiological criteria for stopping treatment are met

From: Progress towards onchocerciasis elimination in the participating countries of the African Programme for Onchocerciasis Control: epidemiological evaluation results

Country

Evaluation area

Pre-control endemicity (maximum nodule prevalence)

  

Results of Phase 1B surveys

Results of all surveys combined

Phase 1B Evaluation year

No. of treatment rounds with >60 % coverage

No. of villages evaluated

Number examined for mf

mf positives

No. of villages evaluated

Number examined for mf

mf positives

Probability that true prevalence of mf in evaluation area exceeds 1.4 %

Probability that true maximum stratum prevalence of mf exceeds 5 %

Epidemiological criteria for stopping treatment meta

Number

%

Maximum % per village

Number

%

Mean % per village

Maximum % per village

Burundi

Bururi

31.0

2013

7

20

8,621

2

0.02

0.7

20

8,621

2

0.02

0.03

0.7

0.000

0.000

Yes

 

Cibitoke Bubanza

49.1

2013

7

10

3,886

1

0.03

0.3

20

7,310

1

0.01

0.01

0.3

0.000

0.000

Yes

 

Rutana

24.6

2013

7

20

7,505

0

0.00

0.0

20

7,505

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.001

Yes

Chad

Logon Occidental

37.9

2014

13

9

2,360

0

0.00

0.0

19

5,680

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.000

Yes

 

Logon Oriental

62.8

2014

13

43

9,624

33

0.34

11.9

62

14,027

38

0.27

0.36

11.9

0.000

1.000

Close

Mandoul

66.1

2013

12

32

12,812

28

0.22

3.4

32

12,812

28

0.22

0.26

3.4

0.000

0.205

Close

Mayo Kebbi East

45.2

2014

13

25

7,648

0

0.00

0.0

30

9,308

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.006

Yes

Mayo Kebbi West

44.4

2014

13

16

6,660

0

0.00

0.0

34

13,085

1

0.01

0.01

0.0

0.000

0.000

Yes

Moyen-Chari

40.1

2012

11

20

5,736

0

0.00

0.0

29

7,073

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.017

Yes

Tandjile

38.7

2013

12

29

8,414

3

0.04

0.7

29

8,414

3

0.04

0.03

0.7

0.000

0.008

Yes

Ethiopia

North Gondar

47.4

2013

9

20

2,986

0

0.00

0.0

30

4,913

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.009

Yes

Malawi

Malawi Extension

21.6

2012

8

12

2,220

29

1.31

8.7

21

4,180

29

0.69

0.46

8.7

0.012

0.997

Close

 

Thyolo Muanza

34.1

2012

8

12

2,105

13

0.62

8.2

23

4,480

13

0.29

0.36

8.2

0.004

0.970

Close

Nigeria

Cross River

56.1

2012

14

22

3,832

275

7.18

25.3

42

7,415

356

4.80

5.10

25.3

1.000

1.000

No

 

Ebonyi

60.2

2012

13

7

1,465

45

3.07

11.9

18

3,441

45

1.31

1.06

11.9

0.859

1.000

Close

 

Enugu Anambra

63.0

2012

12

14

2,595

49

1.89

12.0

25

4,991

135

2.70

2.29

13.7

1.000

1.000

No

 

Kaduna

55.8

2012

21

17

2,600

0

0.00

0.0

46

8,588

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.033

Yes

Tanzania

Tanga

35.4

2012

11

20

3,596

1

0.03

0.5

30

5,643

7

0.12

0.11

1.1

0.000

0.028

Yes

 

Tukuyu

39.7

2012

11

17

3,146

0

0.00

0.0

28

5,007

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.042

Yes

 

Tunduru

67.5

2013

16

10

1,379

0

0.00

0.0

20

3,211

0

0.00

0.00

0.0

0.000

0.020

Yes

Uganda

Adjumani Mojo

45.5

2012

13

19

4,465

63

1.41

9.7

28

5,645

98

1.74

1.76

9.7

1.000

1.000

No

 

Kasese

87.3

2012

14

18

4,981

23

0.46

3.5

28

6,491

74

1.14

1.45

12.1

0.999

1.000

Close

Total

    

392

108,636

565

0.52

25.3

614

157,840

830

0.53

0.52

25.3

   
  1. aCriteria met:
  2. Yes: Probability <0.01 that the area prevalence exceeds 1.4 % and probability <0.05 that the maximum sample stratum prevalence exceeds 5 %
  3. Close: Above probability thresholds not met but percentage mf positives <1.4 %
  4. No: Above probability thresholds not met and percentage mf positives >1.4 %