Skip to main content
Fig. 1 | Infectious Diseases of Poverty

Fig. 1

From: Potential for broad-scale transmission of Ebola virus disease during the West Africa crisis: lessons for the Global Health security agenda

Fig. 1

Illustrative scenarios showing the potential broad-scale transmission of Ebola to cities in countries beyond Sierra Leone, Guinea, and Liberia. Notes: Scenarios showing potential number of cases in each city assume either 10 or 100 cases before detection and initiation of an effective response. Further, in each city, the speed at which an Ebola outbreak was assumed to be brought under control was modeled using one of three control scenarios. These scenarios were either faster, equal or slower than the speed of the control of the Liberian Ebola epidemic, and the estimates adjusted for population density. Cities were allocated to each control scenario based on their country’s World Bank economic classification (see Additional file 2 for further details). The complete results of the estimated number of cases in each country for all control scenarios can found in the Additional file 2 : Appendix S2, Table S6 [32]

Back to article page