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Fig. 6 | Infectious Diseases of Poverty

Fig. 6

From: Climate drivers of vector-borne diseases in Africa and their relevance to control programmes

Fig. 6

ad These maps show the historical probability (given in percentile) of seasonal average of CHIRPS monthly rainfall falling within the upper (wet), one-third (“tercile”) of the 1983–2015 distribution in the country given the occurrence of El Niño/La Niña during that same season. A dry mask is used whenever the sum total of rainfall is ≤10 mm for the three month period. a) the probability of El Niño associated above normal rainfall for Oct–Dec (note the severe impact in Eastern Equatorial Africa); and b) El Niño associated below normal rainfall impact for Jul–Sep (note the severe impact in Ethiopia); c) La Niña associated above normal rainfall for Dec–Feb (note the severe impact in Southern Africa; d) El Niño associated above normal rainfall for Mar–May (note the absence of impact for this main rainy season in Eastern Africa

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