Table 1 State variables and initial values in Model (1)

Susceptible population

S(t)

1 336 210 000

–

[27]

Exposed population

E(t)

501.23

0.92956

MCMC

Symptomatic infected population

I(t)

0.22839

0.95511

MCMC

Asymptomatic infected population

A(t)

991.29

0.81969

MCMC

Isolated susceptible population

S_i(t)

0

–

Data

Quarantined infected population

Q(t)

0

–

Data

Infected population in hospitals

H(t)

21

–

Data

Recovered population

R(t)

240.76

0.63851

MCMC

Recovered population from hospitals

R_h(t)

0

–

Data

Cumulative number of dead cases in hospitals

D(t)

0

–

Data

Total number of reported cases

T(t)

21

–

Data