Table 3 Sensitivity analysis: Different cutoffs for “high-risk” tuberculosis population
Cutoff for percentage of population in high-risk area | Actual percentage of population in high-risk area1 | Number of zones in the high-risk area | Observed percentage of TB cases in the high-risk area (95% CI) | Expected (simulated) percentage of TB cases in the high-risk area (95% simulation interval) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
5% | 7% | 1 | 24% (14–39%) | 19% (44–26%) |
10% | 14% | 3 | 47% (32–62%) | 35% (28–44%) |
15% | 16% | 4 | 51% (36–66%) | 38% (31–48%) |
20% | 22% | 5 | 62% (47–75%) | 47% (39–58%) |
25% | 27% | 6 | 71% (56–83%) | 55% (46–66%) |