Table 4 Model estimated number of cases and reporting rates
From: Estimating the daily trend in the size of the COVID-19 infected population in Wuhan
Date | Reported | Estimated number (95% CI) | Reporting rate (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
20 Jan | 258 | 17 013 (16 539–17 498) | 1.5% (1.5–1.6%) |
25 Jan | 618 | 29 453 (28 633–30 293) | 2.1% (2.0–2.2%) |
30 Jan | 2639 | 40 292 (39 169–41 440) | 6.6% (6.4–6.7%) |
4 Feb | 8351 | 46 601 (45 302–47 929) | 17.9% (17.4–18.4%) |
9 Feb | 16 902 | 49 449 (48 071–50 858) | 34.2% (33.2–35.2%) |
11 Feb | 19 558 | 50 036 (48 641–51 462) | 39.1% (38.0–40.2%) |
13 Feb | 35 991 | 50 437 (49 031–51 874) | 71.4% (69.4–73.4%) |
18 Feb | 44 412 | 50 962 (49 542–52 414) | 87.2% (84.7–89.7%) |
23 Feb | 46 607 | 51 158 (49 732–52 616) | 91.1% (88.6–93.7%) |
28 Feb | 48 557 | 51 231 (49 803–52 691) | 94.8% (92.2–97.5%) |
4 Mar | 49 671 | 51 257 (49 829–52 718) | 96.9% (94.2–99.7%) |
9 Mar | 49 965 | 51 267 (49 838–52 728) | 97.5% (94.8–100.3%) |
17 Mar | 50 005 | 51 272 (49 843–52 733) | 97.5% (94.8–100.3%) |
25 Mar | 50 006 | 51 273 (49 844–52 734) | 97.5% (94.8–100.3%) |
5 Apr | 50 008 | 51 273 (49 844–52 734) | 97.5% (94.8–100.3%) |