Fig. 3
From: Inference and prediction of malaria transmission dynamics using time series data
An illustration of the fitting results of the proposed data-driven stochastic model and the weather-driven model. The fitting results of Tengchong are shown on the left and Longling on the right. The blue line shows the real number of P. vivax cases from January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2009. The gray shadow covers the 95% percentiles of output samples y1:τ based on the data-driven stochastic model, and the red line represents their average value. The light green line represents the estimation of α1x1:τ based on the weather-driven model