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Table 4 The predicted annual active PTB registration rates from 2020 to 2025 in Henan Province, China (1/100 000)

From: Analysis and predication of tuberculosis registration rates in Henan Province, China: an exponential smoothing model study

 

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

Predicted

49.1

46.2

43.2

40.3

37.3

34.4

95% UCL

62.0

59.7

57.4

55.0

52.6

50.2

95% LCL

36.2

32.6

29.1

25.5

22.0

18.6

  1. 95% UCL 95% upper confidence limit; 95% LCL 95% lower confidence limit