Table 6 Spatial clusters of temporal trends of smear positive PTB in China, 2005–2015
Cluster | Province | Observed cases | Expected cases | Inside time trend | Outside time trend | RR | LLR | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Most likely cluster | Guizhou | 139 710 | 120 111.50 | + 0.207% | -7.186% | 1.17 | 3910.53 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 1 | Guangdong | 370 418 | 327 992.83 | -3.098% | -7.335% | 1.14 | 3365.99 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 2 | Hunan | 275 328 | 214 349.02 | -3.256% | -7.212% | 1.30 | 2229.74 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 3 | Jiangxi | 202 934 | 146 151.46 | -2.734% | -7.166% | 1.41 | 2081.28 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 4 | Zhejiang | 136 317 | 172 774.33 | −3.581% | -7.065% | 0.78 | 883.59 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 5 | Beijing | 23 521 | 60 261.71 | + 0.222% | -6.977% | 0.39 | 649.49 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 6 | Liaoning | 110 409 | 142 926.77 | -4.286% | -7.034% | 0.77 | 448.46 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 7 | Qinghai | 24 998 | 18 502.14 | -4.082% | -6.980% | 1.35 | 115.59 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 8 | Hainan, Guangxi | 168 914 | 184 250.00 | -6.037% | -7.002% | 0.91 | 84.00 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 9 | Xizang | 10 501 | 9717.49 | -4.358% | -6.970% | 1.08 | 39.88 | < 0.001 |
Secondary cluster 10 | Hubei | 268 451 | 189 597.05 | -6.483% | -6.986% | 1.44 | 35.81 | < 0.001 |