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Table 2 Estimated reductions in influenza transmissibility during school winter breaks in four different scenarios via the SIRS model

From: Increased urbanization reduced the effectiveness of school closures on seasonal influenza epidemics in China

  Percentage reductions in influenza transmissibility during winter school breaks
Low prevalence (95% CI) High prevalence (95% CI)
Scenario 1 5.0% (1.9–7.8%) 8.0% (7.2–9.1%)
Scenario 2 11.9% (9.0–14.5%) 14.6% (13.9–15.7%)
Scenario 3 10.3% (7.3–12.9%) 13.0% (12.3–14.1%)
Scenario 4 6.3% (3.2–9.0%) 9.2% (8.4–10.3%)
  1. SIRS, Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible; CI, Confidential interval