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Table 6 Sensitivity analysis for the comparison of three multivariable models of the association between weather factors (14-day exponential moving average) and reported cases of COVID-19 caused by the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant of SARS-CoV-2, Sydney, Australia from 16 June to 10 September, 2021

From: Challenges in the control of COVID-19 outbreaks caused by the delta variant during periods of low humidity: an observational study in Sydney, Australia

Model

Factor

Days used for exponential moving average

7-day

14-day

21-day

Estimate (SE)

Z

P-value

Estimate (SE)

Z

P-value

Estimate (SE)

Z

P-value

1

Intercept

14.59 (1.13)

12.89

< 0.001

16.37 (1.06)

15.52

< 0.001

17.30 (0.82)

21.16

< 0.001

9:00 am humidity

− 0.13 (0.02)

− 8.23

< 0.001

− 0.15 (0.01)

− 10.49

< 0.001

− 0.16 (0.01)

− 14.55

< 0.001

2

Intercept

− 1.03 (0.05)

− 22.3

< 0.001

− 2.74 (1.03)

− 2.66

0.008

− 3.64 (0.86)

− 4.23

< 0.001

 

9:00 am temperature

0.54 (0.003)

158.0

< 0.001

0.68 (0.09)

8.00

< 0.001

0.77 (0.07)

10.70

< 0.001

3

Intercept

3.89 (0.12)

33.18

< 0.001

10.24 (2.66)

3.86

< 0.001

11.28 (2.29)

4.93

< 0.001

9:00 am humidity

− 0.05 (0.001)

− 44.97

< 0.001

− 0.11 (0.02)

− 5.30

< 0.001

− 0.12 (0.02)

− 7.00

< 0.001

9:00 am temperature

0.40 (0.005)

86.44

< 0.001

0.25 (0.11)

2.21

0.027

0.25 (0.10)

2.55

0.011

4

Intercept

− 8.33 (8.05)

− 1.03

0.301

− 34.29 (8.93)

− 3.84

< 0.001

− 42.85 (7.65)

− 5.60

< 0.001

9:00 am humidity

0.13 (0.11)

1.22

0.224

0.52 (0.12)

4.20

< 0.001

0.66 (0.11)

6.10

< 0.001

9:00 am temperature

1.67 (0.66)

2.55

0.011

4.23 (0.75)

5.65

< 0.001

5.17 (0.66)

7.83

< 0.001

9:00 am humidity × 9:00 am temperature

− 0.02 (0.01)

− 2.05

0.040

− 0.06 (0.01)

− 5.34

< 0.001

− 0.07 (0.01)

− 7.48

< 0.001