Table 1 Markov model parameters of HIV/AIDS for ART

Initial distribution of HIV/AIDS (%)

 HIV state

100.0%

 AIDS state

0.0%

Transition probabilities per year (%)

 HIV state > AIDS state [mean (min–max)]

11.3 (9.1–13.2)^a [19, 20]

 HIV state > Death [mean (min–max)]

3.0 (0.5–3.7)^a [19,20,21,22]

 AIDS state > Death [mean]

22.9^b [23]

Costs of ART (USD/person-year)

 HIV state [mean (min–max)]

967.9 (533.0–1254.7) [24]

 AIDS state [mean (min–max)]

3036.1 (2749.2–3323.0) [25, 26]

Discount [mean (min—max)]

3% (0–10%)