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Table 3 Joinpoint regression analysis of mortality rates for Neglected Tropical Diseases by age group in the state of Sergipe, Brazil, 1980–2013

From: Mortality Trends for Neglected Tropical Diseases in the State of Sergipe, Brazil, 1980–2013

Age group

Rates per 100 000

Joinpoints

Trends

Entire period

Last 15 years

Start

Final

Period

APC

95% CI

AAPC

95% CI

AAPC15

95% CI

Crude mortality and age-specific rates

 0 − 19

0.31

0.25

0

1980 − 2013

3.31a

0.3; 6.4

3.31a

0.3; 6.4

3.31a

0.3; 6.4

 20 − 39

1.77

0.66

0

1980 − 2013

−2.40a

−4.2; -0.6

−2.40a

−4.2; -0.6

−2.40a

−4.2; -0.6

 40 − 59

10.60

3.11

2

1980 − 1993

2.84

−4.0; 10.1

−0.6

−12.5; 12.9

3.45

−2.2; 9.4

1993 − 1996

−31.56

−83.1; 177.6

1996 − 2013

3.45

−2.2; 9.4

 60 +

12.93

11.63

3

1980 − 1989

−8.32a

−15.7; -0.2

0.4

−8.6; 10.3

6.46a

3.6; 9.4

1989 − 1992

62.46

−33.8; 298.8

1992 − 1996

−32.90

−55.2; 0.5

1996 − 2013

6.46a

3.6; 9.4

 All (CR)

2.81

1.96

3

1980 − 1989

−8.80

−17.5; 0.8

0.1

−11.4; 13.1

5.64a

1.6; 9.8

1989 − 1992

52.58

−56.2; 432.0

1992 − 1997

−22.61

−44.3; 7.6

1997 − 2013

5.64a

1.6; 9.8

 Schistosomiasis (CR)

2.37

0.68

3

1980 − 1989

−7.44a

−13.1; -1.4

−2.3

−9.9; 5.9

5.28a

1.0; 9.7

1989 − 1992

47.21

−35.0; 233.2

1992 − 1998

−28.49a

−40.8; -13.7

1998 − 2013

5.28a

1.0; 9.7

 Chagas Disease (CR)

0.18

0.77

4

1980 − 1989

−12.70

−28.6; 6.7

4.7

−15.7; 30.0

9.7a

3.1; 16.7

1989 − 1992

95.18

−77.8; 1613.6

1992 − 1995

−31.44

−77.7; 110.5

1995 − 2010

14.99a

10.2; 20.0

2010 − 2013

−7.68

−29.1; 20.2

 Leishmaniases (CR)

0.09

0.14

0

1980 − 2013

−0.11

−2.4; 2.2

−0.11

−2.4; 2.2

−0.11

−2.4; 2.2

Proportional mortality ratios

 0 − 19

0.08

0.20

0

1980 − 2013

7.04a

3.5; 10.7

7.04a

3.5; 10.7

7.04a

3.5; 10.7

 20 − 39

0.73

0.30

0

1980 − 2013

−2.53a

−4.2; -0.8

−2.53a

−4.2; -0.8

−2.53a

−4.2; -0.8

 40 − 59

1.43

0.56

2

1980 − 1993

2.95

−2.6; 8.8

0.0

−10.7; 12.0

5.11

−0.8; 11.4

1993 − 1996

−33.30

−80.7; 130.8

1996 − 2013

5.11

−0.8; 11.4

 60 +

0.32

0.31

3

1980 − 1989

−7.34a

−13.9; -0.3

1.0

−7.5; 10.3

6.79a

3.7; 10.0

1989 − 1992

58.97

−30.8; 265.3

    

1992 − 1996

−31.29

−53.8; 2.1

1996 − 2013

6.79a

3.7; 10.0

 All

0.43

0.35

3

1980 − 1989

−5.47

−13.3; 3.1

0.9

−9.5; 12.4

5.72a

1.6; 10.0

1989 − 1992

42.32

−52.3; 324.8

1992 − 1997

−20.51

−41.9; 8.8

1997 − 2013

5.72a

1.6; 10.0

 Schistosomiasis

0.36

0.12

2

1980 − 1994

3.29

−0.3; 7.1

−0.9

−10.6; 9.7

4.98

−0.3; 10.6

1994 − 1997

−40.21

−80.8; 86.4

1997 − 2013

4.98

−0.3; 10.6

 Chagas Disease

0.03

0.14

0

1980 − 2013

8.59a

6.8; 10.4

8.59a

6.8; 10.4

8.59a

6.8; 10.4

 Leishmaniases

0.01

0.02

0

1980 − 2013

0.78

−1.5; 3.1

0.78

−1.5; 3.1

0.78

−1.5; 3.1

  1. APC annual percent variation, AAPC average annual percent variation, AAPC 15 Annual percent variation in the last 15 years, 95% CI confidence intervals of 95%, CR crude rate
  2. aStatistically important