Risk estimation and prediction of the transmission of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) in the mainland of China excluding Hubei province

Table 3 The impact of partial lifting control measures and personal protection

Starting time of adjustment	Maximum of cumulative confirmed cases	Epidemic period
No adjustment (c(t)=c₀e^−δT(t))	13 155	70 days
5 March (c(t)=0.2c₀)	13 227	110 days
5 March (c(t)=0.5c₀)	More than 447 million	More than 365 days
20 March (c(t)=0.2c₀)	13 161	77 days
20 March (c(t)=0.5c₀)	More than 445 million	More than 365 days

ISSN: 2049-9957