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Table 3 Exponential smoothing model fitting for the active PTB registration rates from 2007 to 2016 in Henan Province, China

From: Analysis and predication of tuberculosis registration rates in Henan Province, China: an exponential smoothing model study

Model Stationary R-squared R-squared RMSE MAPE MAE MaxAPE MaxAE Normalized BIC
Registration Rate 0.606 0.839 0.452 5.527 0.334 28.253 1.742 -1.469
  1. PTB Pulmonary tuberculosis; RMSE Root mean square error; MAPE Mean absolute percentage error; MAE Mean absolute error; MaxAPE Max absolute percentage error; MaxAE Max absolute error; BIC Bayesian Information Criterion