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Table 3 Exponential smoothing model fitting for the active PTB registration rates from 2007 to 2016 in Henan Province, China

From: Analysis and predication of tuberculosis registration rates in Henan Province, China: an exponential smoothing model study

Model

Stationary R-squared

R-squared

RMSE

MAPE

MAE

MaxAPE

MaxAE

Normalized BIC

Registration Rate

0.606

0.839

0.452

5.527

0.334

28.253

1.742

-1.469

  1. PTB Pulmonary tuberculosis; RMSE Root mean square error; MAPE Mean absolute percentage error; MAE Mean absolute error; MaxAPE Max absolute percentage error; MaxAE Max absolute error; BIC Bayesian Information Criterion