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Table 2 Joinpoint analysis of newly smear-positive TB in different geographic regions of China

From: Changes in newly notified cases and control of tuberculosis in China: time-series analysis of surveillance data

 

Newly smear-positive TB*

Annual percentage change (95% CI)

P value

All provinces

   

 1997 to 2002

11.21 to 12.49

1.1 (−3.5 to 5.8)

0.600

 2002 to 2005

12.49 to 41.90

42.8 (22.5–66.5)

 < 0.001

 2005 to 2010

41.90 to 34.21

 −3.0 (−6.6 to 0.8)

0.100

 2010 to 2018

34.21 to 16.23

 −9.9 (−12.7 to −6.9)

 < 0.001

Eastern provinces

   

 1997 to 2002

13.07 to 13.67

1.0 (−1.9 to 4.1)

0.500

 2002 to 2005

13.67 to 34.10

29.3 (16.3–43.8)

 < 0.001

 2005 to 2010

34.10 to 29.54

−2.9 (−5.5 to −0.1)

 < 0.001

 2010 to 2018

29.54 to 12.61

 − 10.3 (− 11.5 to − 9.2)

 < 0.001

Central provinces

   

 1997 to 2002

11.36 to 12.49

 − 0.1 (− 4.9 to 4.8)

1.000

 2002 to 2005

12.49 to 51.43

54.7 (32.5–80.7)

 < 0.001

 2005 to 2010

51.43 to 39.50

 − 3.4 (− 6.9 to 0.2)

0.100

 2010 to 2018

39.50 to 18.59

 − 9.6 (− 11.2 to − 8.0)

 < 0.001

Western provinces

   

 1997 to 2002

8.61 to 9.83

2.4 (− 6.0 to 11.5)

0.600

 2002 to 2005

9.83 to 44.54

52.1 (16.0 to 99.4)

 < 0.001

 2005 to 2010

44.54 to 36.55

− 3.0 (− 9.1 to 3.4)

0.300

 2010 to 2018

36.55 to 19.06

− 9.8 (− 11.3 to − 8.3)

 < 0.001

  1. The bold indicated that the changes were significant
  2. *The number of newly smear-positive TB cases (per 100 000) at the first and the last year of indicated segment