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Table 3 The clusters of P. vivax cases detected using the purely spatial clustering in 2011–2017, Myanmar

From: Spatio-temporal trends of malaria incidence from 2011 to 2017 and environmental predictors of malaria transmission in Myanmar

Year

Cluster type

Cluster area (n)

Observed

Expected

RR

Radius (km)

LLR

P value

2011

A

11

13,238

786.80

27.86

126.67

27,794.72

0.000

2012

A

11

17,224

3070.77

6.67

333.23

16,733.83

0.000

 

B

17

12,349

3481.29

3.94

134.74

7226.23

0.000

 

B

37

16,873

6907.02

2.77

301.82

5709.88

0.000

 

B

4

2100

396.65

5.39

51.56

1812.46

0.000

2013

A

37

14,156

4660.00

3.64

301.82

7062.14

0.000

 

B

16

7584

2284.14

3.64

134.65

4042.55

0.000

 

B

10

6136

1745.13

3.79

296.74

3487.38

0.000

 

B

11

3908

829.83

4.96

111.17

3055.90

0.000

2014

A

36

10,291

3027.27

4.20

298.48

6070.39

0.000

 

B

12

3924

580.24

7.37

111.96

4298.66

0.000

 

B

11

4733

1003.25

5.20

126.67

3791.77

0.000

2015

A

38

7751

2097.52

4.70

261.96

5132.20

0.000

 

B

12

3207

402.04

8.86

111.96

3999.60

0.000

 

B

1

1297

54.95

24.68

0

2885.72

0.000

2016

A

8

2250

209.46

12.42

120.51

3446.12

0.000

 

B

1

797

29.49

28.46

0

1879.63

0.000

 

B

31

3227

1006.40

3.80

274.45

1721.89

0.000

 

B

1

529

25.08

21.81

0

1117.38

0.000

 

B

5

286

39.16

7.42

35.22

323.86

0.000

2017

A

1

5389

22.38

289.26

0

24,663.74

0.000

 

B

1

2781

27.17

111.98

0

10,239.71

0.000

 

B

9

4107

434.45

10.69

181.89

5775.22

0.000

 

B

3

3559

437.37

9.03

49.81

4499.05

0.000

  1. Type, A: type of most likely cluster and B: second most likely cluster; n: the cluster number of township was identified by Kulldorff’s spatial scan; RR: relative risk; LLR: log likelihood ratio